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Tough
Time to be an Independent Innovator
By Bob
Hult, Bishop & Associates Inc.
It
has never been easy for an independent interconnect designer to get much
attention from the established connector industry. The state of the
current economy has not improved the situation much either. Although new
product development has always been a key aspect of the industry,
advances in connector technology have largely been an evolutionary
process, characterized by a continuing series of improvements in
materials, design, and manufacturing processes. The basic physics of a
separable interface have been well documented over many years, allowing
limited potential for groundbreaking changes.
To a large degree, suppliers respond to the evolving performance and
packaging requirements of their customers. Equipment manufacturers are
often reluctant to increase risk by utilizing unproven technology if
existing interfaces meet their requirements. For many years,
conservative connector users would add a soldering step to a crimped
contact to insure the reliability of the interface. The fact that it
took nearly 10 years for the industry to fully accept compliant pin
termination to a printed circuit board reflects the resistance many OEMs
exhibit toward any significant change to a proven process.
On the other hand, original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) continue to
demand more from their connector suppliers. Connectors that feature
greater power density, high-speed bandwidth, environmental resistance,
durability, higher pin counts, and greater density are required to
support next-generation equipment. The connector industry has been
responding with a flood of new products that address these needs. The
continuing proliferation of new interconnect families is remarkable
given the pressure being created by the current market. A few of the
factors the connector industry faces today include:
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Raw material costs, as
well as operating expenses, are increasing. The cost of goods sold
has risen from 69.8 percent of sales in 2007, to 77.1 percent in
fourth quarter 2008.
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Plummeting sales have
prompted connector suppliers to adjust their workforce, resulting in
a loss of experienced human resources. The current mantra appears to
be short-term pain to insure long-term survival.
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The steep drop-off in
business and continuing uncertainty of the future has made capacity
and production planning difficult.
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The ability to develop and
introduce next-generation interfaces has become an indicator of
which connector suppliers are considered industry leaders—or
followers.
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Committing major resources
to the development and tooling of a new product is always a gamble,
but in the current climate, it is unclear if customers will go ahead
with a new product or put the project on the shelf until business
improves.
We are currently in uncharted waters, putting even greater emphasis
in return on investment as soon as possible.
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Responding to the
proliferation of global environmental mandates requires extensive
research and documentation, adding cost to the bottom line.
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The broad adoption of
industry standards has made some interfaces commodity products, with
a huge supplier base, often in Asia, and driving profit out for all
suppliers.
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A recent poll by Bishop &
Associates indicated that a majority of customers are anticipating
reduced connector prices.
In spite of these challenges, leading
connector manufacturers continue to invest major resources in new
product development, especially in the areas of high-speed backplane,
mezzanine, I/O, subminiature, and power. The number of new products
announced over the past year has been astounding. Conversations with
development engineering and product managers of several major suppliers
indicate that they have seen no reduction in activity, and that a
continuous stream of new products will be announced over the coming
year. One product manager noted that their difficulty is prioritizing
the funding of development projects currently in the pipeline. One
connector manufacturer noted that although they are not hiring now, they
anticipate that they will soon be taking advantage of “downsized”
engineering talent that has recently entered the available labor market.
Against this backdrop, independent connector engineers continue to find
it difficult to gain interest within the established connector
community. Introducing innovation from the outside has never been an
easy path, with very few success stories.
The typical independent interface developer has worked within the
industry, but for a variety of reasons is now applying the experience
gained as a private individual. In some cases, they may have formed a
small company or LLC, but some are lone inventors. Their business model
also varies. In some cases, they are looking for a financial angel to
fund the company, with the eventual objective of selling the company and
its intellectual property via an initial public offering (IPO). They may
seek investment capital from sources that range from venture capital
organizations to their personal funds. The current economic meltdown has
severely limited the availability of venture capital sources. More
commonly, inventors are seeking to license or sell their intellectual
property to an established connector supplier. This approach is
problematic for a number of reasons.
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Connector manufacturers
maintain their own development and engineering staffs, and expect
them to be the source of new products. A certain amount of NIH
factor may also be involved.
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An entrepreneur may
require a non-disclosure agreement before their concept can be
exposed. This is a real problem, as the connector manufacturer may
be working internally on a similar concept, and does not want that
effort to be constrained.
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The independent inventor
may perceive a need, but it may represent only a very narrow market
potential, insufficient to justify the expense of tooling. Large
connector manufacturers often have extensive sales and marketing
departments that are in direct contact with a wide range of
customers. This allows them to collect input from a variety of
sources to determine the total potential market.
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Major connector suppliers
generally want to maintain control of their intellectual property
(IP). Hobbling a new product with a license or royalty limits the
connector manufacturers’ ability to adjust pricing or capability to
improve the product in the future. Contaminated IP has been a source
of unanticipated problems as a supplier tries to have an
interconnect defined by an industry standard. If that connector
utilizes licensed IP, it may not be possible to extend that license
to others.
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Independent developers are
not constrained by traditional or groupthink solutions, and often
come up with product concepts that are totally unique. They may
require new materials or manufacturing processes that may not be
resident within a major connector manufacturer.
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In some cases, independent
inventors may be focused on solving a problem that may arise well
into the future. At least one independent inventor expressed
satisfaction that a concept he addressed 10 years ago is now being
recognized by the industry. Providing a solution to an unrecognized
need is hard to sell.
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A lone inventor often does
not have the resources to thoroughly document the performance of his
or her new concept. A lack of adequate funding may preclude the
establishment of proper patent protection, the development of
detailed test data to substantiate advantages, or the creation of a
professional presentation of the concept. In some cases, independent
engineers have become so enamored with their technology that they
fail to see why the advantages of their idea are not immediately
evident to potential licensees, and they think the product should
sell itself.
In those rare cases where a designer is
given the opportunity to present a concept to a major connector
supplier, the project may still ultimately fail. Getting an opportunity
to present a new concept to a potential licensee or partner is a key
step forward, but meeting the performance expectations over a protracted
evaluation period is the real challenge.
Recognizing the difficulty in getting access to decision makers within
the connector industry, some entrepreneurs have chosen alternative
approaches. In several instances, inventors have attempted to promote
their concept directly to a major OEM. If adopted, the OEM would have
sufficient clout to drive their connector supplier to tool the
interface. This may make sense, but we are not aware of a success using
this approach to date.
Another approach that has been more successful has been to demonstrate
how an innovation can be used to enable or enhance an existing product
manufactured by a connector company. This is more of a partnering
relationship, and offers the advantage of having no IP implications for
either company. In a successful example of this model, a developer of a
unique contact design sells a component to the connector company, which
incorporates it into a finished assembly. The small supplier gains
immediate revenue while exposing the technology to the broad market.
Adoption of this technology by an established industry leader lends
credibility to the technology. The connector supplier is able to offer a
superior final product without incurring the costs of developing the
technology internally.
Another innovator has been able to generate enough interest in a unique
interconnect system to remain independent. They manufacture and sell
their product to a niche market of users who require the specific
features that their interconnect offers.
Going it alone brings its own set of challenges. For example, a custom
software developer that optimized the design of high-speed circuits lost
focus on their original business plan. Initial success caused management
to expand too quickly beyond their limited capabilities, resulting in
diluted resources. The CEO is now trying to reorganize the company.
At the other end of the spectrum, more than one independent designer has
suffered years of futile effort and personal bankruptcy in an attempt to
find a receptive ear.
The connector industry depends on the continuous development of new
innovative products, but the adoption of new technology acquired from
sources outside of established companies continues to present
significant barriers to independent inventors.
Bishop & Associates Comments:
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The connector industry is
a highly competitive market in the best of times, in the current
global meltdown, life is getting brutal, especially for independent
designers.
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Innovation in new
interface development has been a key element in the connector
industry, but it is predominately the result of internal product
development resources.
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The current economic
climate has made investment in new product development an even more
critical and problematic challenge. It is unclear how customers are
responding to the industry cutbacks.
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Independent entrepreneurs
have adopted a variety of methods in an effort to penetrate the
connector industry, with limited success.
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It is unclear if major
connector consumers will commit to bleeding edge technology that
requires next-generation connectors.
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Independent interconnect
technology developers are facing difficult odds of success in
finding acceptance, and many are scrambling to maintain sufficient
funding to continue their efforts.
Robert
Hult
Director of Product Technology, Bishop & Associates, Inc.
Robert Hult has been in the connector industry for more than 36
years. Hult began his career as a sales engineer for Amphenol.
He joined AMP in 1972 and served in several management positions
through 1996. In 1997, Hult joined Foxconn as group marketing
manager for Intel in Chandler, Arizona, USA. Prior to joining
Bishop & Associates, Hult was the regional application
engineering manager for Tyco Electronics.
Hult graduated in 1968 from Bradley University with a Bachelor
of Science degree in electronics technology and a minor in
business. |