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Fiber Optic Connectors Make a Slow But Steady Comeback
By John MacWilliams, Bishop & Associates Inc.
During their long evolution, fiber optic
(FO) connectors have gone through significant changes in the
marketplace, due to changing technology and business conditions. First
made available in the 1980s, fiber optics was thought by many to be the
future of electronic interconnect, and hundreds of millions were
invested in research and development in the following decades to pave
the way for that anticipated nirvana. Cost was a problem, as was the
serial, cable-intensive nature of FO designs. They didn’t fit the
typical architecture of an electronic system. Then the 2000 telecom bust
occurred.
In many ways, the FO industry is still recovering. Fortunately, the
point-to-point characteristic of the FO system was put to good use in
the telecom long-haul network prior to the 2000 meltdown, and therein we
find the foundation of the technology’s renaissance.
FO replaced almost all copper in the long-haul network because of its
compelling economic advantage in that cabling environment. This resulted
in a multi-billion-dollar, 20-year build out, primarily with single-mode
(SM) FO designs, which can reach > 60km @ 10Gbps. These designs
have few conventional FO connectors and a lot of fusion welding. FO
later expanded into the metropolitan and local loop, using both SM and
multimode (MM) fiber, with more connectors, organizers, and switches.
After years of delay caused by regulatory issues and the 2000 bust, FO
is now beginning to connect homes to high-speed broadband networks, but
it’s still well behind hybrid fiber-coax CATV networks. In this
implementation (shown below) fiber is dropped from overhead, or
underground cables to the house, where a network interface device (NID)
converts the signal back to copper Cat. 5-7 twisted-pair, or (as shown)
coaxial cable. This means that in many metropolitan areas, two to four
competing broadband systems will be deployed: CATV, satellite,
fiber-to-the-home (FTTH), and WiMax.
FO’s eventual “take-over” of electronics applications hasn’t happened,
and probably won’t for at least two more decades, (maybe never, as Si
integration eats up more and more real estate), but there are an
increasing number of equipment applications. Some are specific niches,
such as turnpike toll readers. Others have more significant volume
potential, ranging from gigabit and above Ethernet LANs, to enterprise
storage systems, to plastic optical fiber (POF) use in S/PDIF and other
consumer/audio applications, to hybrid optical/electronic interfaces in
high-speed backplanes—to the aforementioned FTTH.
Now and Beyond
Fiber optics has been primarily used intra-system where speed,
bandwidth, and cable, leverage the strength of fiber optics. Cost, loss
budgets, latency, and other issues have limited fiber’s use inside
systems, which are still primarily electronic, from the silicon
chip to the I/O panel.
Where will fiber optic circuitry be
employed?
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Now |
Then |
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● Telecom Networks: Building,
Campus, Metro |
● Local Telecom Equipment, FTTH |
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● HP Computing and Storage:
Intra-system |
● Servers: Chassis/Board/Chip |
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● Fiber-to-the-Curb:
Cable/Internet |
● Storage Equipment: SAN/NAS |
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● Invasive Diagnostics |
● Scientific and Technical
Computers |
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● Some Automotive and Office
Equipment (plastic) |
● Networking Equipment (10Gb
Ethernet) |
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● Digital Optical Audio
(plastic) |
● High End Consumer Electronics |
Is an all optical system possible?
Not at this time. Roadblocks include lack of low-cost (Si) optical ICs
or FO printed wiring boards. Most importantly, copper circuits meet 98
percent of all existing applications—and are continually improving
performance to levels not thought possible 10 years ago.
What elements of a photonic system are available?
GaAs, InPh lasers, WDMs,
transceivers, connectors, and other components—enough to address
high-speed backplane, I/O, and inter-system requirements up to 5 Gbps—some
say as high as 20 Gbps or more. There are also multiple connector
standards, including ST, LC, SC, and LG.
What breakthroughs may be coming?
Intel has developed Si Haman lasers, waveguides, and hybrid Si Laser
sources. This means future systems could be mass-produced with low-cost
Si optical chips. PWBs, with flexible fiber interconnects or waveguides,
already exist, as do lower-cost transceivers and connectors. The most
likely implementations of a hybrid or all-optical system will be
multiple systems-in-package, interconnected in an OEM-controlled
environment.

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Trends
Fiber optics = Multi-tiered Technology
1) Low-cost LED/POF specialty applications in copiers,
automotive, sensors, etc.
2) Telecom applications in the local, distribution loop,
central office, and long-haul networks
3) High-speed LANs and SANs
4) High-performance electronic equipment interconnects
FTTP, from 30 to 100Mbps, is in initial roll-out after
decades of planning, beginning with Verizon and Bell South.
FO’s future is tied to the success of broadband FO
deployment, plus the degree of UWB wireless competition to
wired telecom. Massive investment over the past two decades
in fiber optics R&D has produced a stable of technology that
is yet to be fully realized in commercial application. EO is
capable, albeit at two to 10X the cost of copper, of
satisfying any foreseeable roadblock related to speed or
bandwidth, but will see only high-end use in OEM equipment
thru 2010-2015. FO connectors tooled and available for
production use include: ST, FC, LC, SC, FDDI, MT/RJ
ferrule-based MPO, MPX, and others. POF remains a specialty.
Connectorized transceivers are also available (GBIC/SFP).
ATM/Sonet frequencies from OC-3 (155Mb) to OC-192 (10Gb).
Fiber flex, ribbon fiber, free space, and embedded optical
trace technologies are also available when onboard optics is
required, as are optical backplane interconnects, including
hybrid fiber-copper devices/systems. |


Over the years FO has migrated from the
telecom infrastructure to networks and some equipment. This inward trend
will continue because FO has some compelling performance advantages,
including immunity to electrical interference. As data rates rise above
1.0 gigabit/sec toward >10 Gb/s, the crossover will narrow.
Breakthroughs are necessary in optical ICs, waveguides, and printed
circuits (see above) to enable new high-performance electro-optic
equipment. When this happens, photonics-based equipment will need
packaging and interconnect in the optical realm—most likely in a hybrid
FO-Cu circuitry environment.
Barriers to FO proliferation:
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FO cost vs. continual,
surprising improvements in copper circuit performance and
integration.
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EO conversion issues:
propagation delay, lack of optical ICs limit EO circuitry
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Wireless and Internet
protocol alternatives to a wired telecom infrastructure.
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Telecom meltdown 2000-2004
was a significant setback to FO progress.
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FO is primarily a
cable-based technology vs. copper printed circuit board platforms.
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Globalization is both a
geographic and competitive issue.
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China and India will be
the next telecom frontier, but mostly wireless.
Roadmap Issues:
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No known materials or
process issues.
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End face preparation,
alignment, etc. are being addressed (see iNEMI OE TIG).
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Cost differential vs.
copper limits scope of FO growth, except where copper barriers
exist.
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Infancy of commercial
optical Si ICs limits all-photonics circuitry and equipment.
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Industry-wide inertia
exists to evolve and adapt copper-based technologies.
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There are ROI constraints
on FO research needed to leapfrog copper, particularly since most
organizations today are focusing on nearer-term opportunities.


John MacWilliams
Senior Consultant and Analyst, Bishop & Associates Inc.
John MacWiIliams has been in the electronics industry for over
40 years. His main
areas of experience have included: U.S. competitiveness
programs, market research studies, authored articles, field
sales and management, product marketing management, strategic
marketing, new product planning, venture development,
advertising and media relations, direct sales, manufacturers
representative, distribution sales management, and international
marketing. MacWilliams has worked with AMP, Diceon Electronics,
TRW, and IRC in marketing management positions. Prior to joining
Bishop & Associates, MacWilliams served as the group director of
marketing and new product planning for AMP.
MacWilliams graduated from Lehigh University with degrees in
business management and engineering. |