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Near and Far: Connector and Semiconductor Industries
Never the Twain Shall Meet?
By John MacWilliams, Bishop & Associates Inc.


This article is
written from the perspective of the connector industry. Its purpose is
to discuss similarities and differences between the connector and the
semiconductor industries, and to foster greater understanding of the
relationship between these two vital markets.
As the photos above suggest, the connector and semiconductor industries
have a lot in common. They can also be light years apart in their design
origination and specific applications—from ultra-miniature IC sockets to
gargantuan locomotive electrical systems and everything in between. (See
archived article on
Large and Small Connector Companies). These two industries tend to
follow each other on order intake and outflow, with ICs being the
leading indicator. (See archived article on
Semiconductor Industry.) The semiconductor industry is more than six
times the size of the connector industry (based on 2008 figures).
Connector –
Semiconductor Top 10

The semiconductor
industry—which includes all types of integrated circuits and the
dominate companies within the industry—is the engine that drives
electronic circuitry. They make equipment innovation possible.
Cost-effective silicon integration enables many familiar human
interfaces we use every day, such as USB, WiFi, optical mice, and cell
phones. Connector designs are a direct result of requirements driven by
semiconductor technology and innovation. A recent emerging technology is
USB 3.0, and another recent product to hit the market, packed with ICs
and more than a few connector products, is the Apple iPad.

A key point to consider
is that many of these innovations start with standards groups or
consortia started by one or more industry leaders. After the standard is
set, and sometimes before the standard is established, equipment starts
to roll off the production lines. But it is not until the application is
embedded in silicon that costs come down and connector volumes go up.
Connector suppliers know this, so even though the semiconductor industry
is not a large customer, they must be dealt with in the standards arena.
The connector industry could do a better job in working with the
semiconductor companies during that defining time, and not take the
semiconductor industry’s dominance for granted.
Despite the above, there are many connector designs driven by other
factors somewhat devoid of semicon influence. A large number, arguably
50 percent or more, of all connector designs fall into this category.
Semiconductors are in the mix, but they are not a deciding factor. In
many cases, these are application-specific designs that also garner an
important slice of the connector industry’s revenues and profits.
There are reasons for this idiosyncratic relationship between the two
industries. One can be found in the nature of connectors: Connector
designs are almost infinite, backed by a huge number of applications,
and the ability to call on a very large variety of electro-mechanical
materials, component parts, assembly processes (stamping, molding) or
machined connector housings, or electro-optic parts, glass fiber
connectors, and processes. In other words, the sky’s the limit in terms
of different types of connector designs, both metallic and glass.
With ICs, the manufacturing process is not piece-part. It is monolithic,
and limited to a small number of materials and processes: Si/CMOS, SiGe,
and GaAs, etc. This also results in many different semiconductor
devices, because companies and researchers are finding new ways to use
these processes, including almost unlimited photolithographic
capabilities. Photolithography produces feature sizes much smaller than
what the connector industry does. Example: MEMS devices, which have <100
micron-sized features that can be similar to connectors, or produce
micro-miniature wafer-probe contactors.

Another difference
between the two markets is the cost of entry and reinvestment. In the
connector business, it is much lower than in semiconductors. This may
account for the greater number of companies (300+) making connectors vs.
those fabricating ICs (<100). Again, see
Small vs. Large.
Yet another significant difference between the makeup of these two
interconnected industries: Connector manufacturing is typically turnkey,
i.e. vertically integrated from basic materials through manufacturing,
with some variations. But, though the IC process is monolithic, an
increasing percentage of ICs are designed by one company and produced by
another company, such as Walla, an IC foundry operation. The merchant
company invests in design, which in itself is not insignificant, while
the foundry invests in equipment to defray the material costs over
multiple customers. This is the semiconductor industry’s equivalent to
outsourcing in electronic equipment manufacture. In fact, there are two
levels of outsourcing in the semiconductor industry: Foundry operations
and IC packaging. These differences are caused by, on the
connector
side, a relatively low entry level, and on the IC side, a huge, often
multi-billion-dollar capital investment need, not to mention (in either
case), the investment and access to IP (intellectual property).
This difference in investment cost partly accounts for the large number
of connector companies out there. The top 10 connector companies equal
approximately 50 percent or more of the total market (see table above).
But that still leaves $20 billion in connector sales for the rest of the
industry. Also, if all of these companies were doing the same thing, the
market would be much more concentrated, which means there would be far
fewer connector companies.
Well, that process is at work. Each year there are mergers and
acquisitions in the connector industry. Globalization has resulted in
new entrants as well, because as we said above, there is a relatively
low barrier to entry.
There is consolidation also in the semiconductor industry. This is
caused primarily by huge capital investment costs. It is getting to the
point where less than 10 companies in the industry will be able to
finance future semiconductor fabrication costs, which are escalating
into the multi-billion-dollar range. Some speculate that less than five
semiconductor companies are able to absorb the costs of fabricating the
35-22 nm nodes.
In addition to these significant differences, the connector and
semiconductor industries are viewed by many as being “joined at the
hip.” Wall Street and major business magazines tend to lump these two
industries together. Yet, in only one or two cases are there companies
who make both ICs and connectors. The commonality is in business and
market relationships.
I guess we will have to face the fact that two of the most outstanding
industries ever created will march into the future together—even when
they don’t know each other’s names.
John MacWilliams
Senior Consultant and Analyst, Bishop & Associates Inc.
John MacWiIliams has been in the electronics industry for over
40 years. His main
areas of experience have included: U.S. competitiveness
programs, market research studies, authored articles, field
sales and management, product marketing management, strategic
marketing, new product planning, venture development,
advertising and media relations, direct sales, manufacturers
representative, distribution sales management, and international
marketing. MacWilliams has worked with AMP, Diceon Electronics,
TRW, and IRC in marketing management positions. Prior to joining
Bishop & Associates, MacWilliams served as the group director of
marketing and new product planning for AMP.
MacWilliams graduated from Lehigh University with degrees in
business management and engineering. |