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Price and Lead Times are Increasing

Price Analysis
The Price Index for January is 3.043 from December at 2.756. Industry personnel predict the price index to be 3.290 six months from now. The current price index and the forecast index are both above 3.000. This has not happened for a very long time.

Industry personnel were asked, “In your opinion, what happened to connector prices in the past six months, and what will happen during the next six months?” The results of the January survey are shown in the following table:

Change in Connector Prices

A price index above 3.000 means industry personnel believe prices have, or will increase.

Methodology: Increase a lot = 5; Increase a little = 4; Stay the same = 3;  Decline a little = 2; Decline a lot = 1


The following table displays the distribution of responses on the question of prices.

 Distribution of Respondents

Connector Price Index – Prices 6 Months From Now

A price index above 3.000 means industry personnel believe prices have, or will increase.

Lead Time Analysis
Industry personnel were asked, “In your opinion, are lead times increasing, staying the same, or decreasing now and in six months from now?”

The following table provides the survey results, including distribution of responses:

Order Lead Times on Connectors

  

Lead times are 5.9 weeks now and forecast to be at 6.0 weeks in six months.

 

 

Bishop & Associates, Inc. © 2010